Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000221 0.000248 0.000276 0.000308 0.000343 0.000382 0.000426
2025-05-25 0.000182 0.000217 0.000257 0.000305 0.000362 0.000428 0.000508
2025-06-01 0.000152 0.000191 0.000239 0.000299 0.000374 0.000465 0.000583
2025-06-08 0.000130 0.000172 0.000225 0.000296 0.000389 0.000505 0.000663
2025-06-15 0.000114 0.000158 0.000216 0.000296 0.000405 0.000548 0.000750
2025-06-22 0.000100 0.000145 0.000205 0.000293 0.000417 0.000585 0.000831
2025-06-29 0.000091 0.000137 0.000201 0.000297 0.000438 0.000636 0.000935
2025-07-06 0.000083 0.000129 0.000196 0.000299 0.000455 0.000681 0.001034
2025-07-13 0.000075 0.000120 0.000188 0.000296 0.000465 0.000717 0.001120
2025-07-20 0.000070 0.000116 0.000187 0.000304 0.000491 0.000777 0.001248
2025-07-27 0.000065 0.000111 0.000183 0.000306 0.000508 0.000824 0.001359
2025-08-03 0.000060 0.000106 0.000179 0.000307 0.000523 0.000870 0.001469
2025-08-10 0.000055 0.000099 0.000173 0.000304 0.000531 0.000905 0.001568
2025-08-17 0.000051 0.000095 0.000170 0.000307 0.000549 0.000959 0.001702
2025-08-24 0.000047 0.000089 0.000164 0.000304 0.000558 0.000997 0.001811
2025-08-31 0.000043 0.000085 0.000159 0.000303 0.000569 0.001040 0.001932
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000081 0.000156 0.000304 0.000584 0.001089 0.002069
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000077 0.000151 0.000301 0.000592 0.001128 0.002187
2025-09-21 0.000035 0.000075 0.000151 0.000306 0.000615 0.001195 0.002364
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000072 0.000148 0.000308 0.000631 0.001251 0.002523
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000068 0.000144 0.000306 0.000639 0.001290 0.002653
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000068 0.000145 0.000313 0.000668 0.001373 0.002875
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000065 0.000143 0.000316 0.000685 0.001435 0.003057